López Obrador’s party assesses its strength in state elections


Mexico renews six governorships and more than 400 local posts in one appointment in which the ruling party is the favourite.

A man votes in Tizayuca (M
A man votes in Tizayuka (Mexico).Claudio CruzAFP
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This Sunday, nearly 12 million Mexicans have been called to vote for the renewal of governance in the states of Quintana Roo, Oaxaca, Hidalgo, Aguascalientes, Tamaulipas and Durango, as well as 39 city councils and 25 local representatives. The ruling party, Morena, seeks to consolidate its regional power at this meeting, for which it comes up as a favorite in the elections, while its opposition rivals try to take advantage of the opportunity that they still hold in the hegemony movement. can stand for. led by the presidentAnders Manuel Lepez Obrador (AMLO).

Election day has begun as usual in all states, with the exception of Oaxaca, where it has recently been passed, where positions are at stake.El Huracán Agatha– which left 11 people dead and 22 missing last week – prevented the opening of 34 polling stations, which were affected by road closures and flooding. Voting will be open until 6:00 p.m. local time (1:00 a.m. in Spain) and the quick counting system’s first results are expected tonight.

All polls agree that Morena will win in Quintana Roo, Oaxaca, Hidalgo and Tamaulipas, which would allow him consolidate your political dominance In two thirds of the country: they could rule in 21 out of 32 states. For its part, the opposition has an advantage in the traditional conservative political strongholds, Aguascalientes and Durango, which they must maintain if they want to prevent the AMLO movement from painting Mexico’s political map red.

As Khemwirg Puentes, a political scientist at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), tells el Mundo, the biggest loser in this appointment is the ruling party: “Because the expectation is that it will win in most of the states, it makes it.” If it does not succeed, it will be seen as a failure for the president who hopes to carry out any electoral process. It will be surprising if the opposition retains control of any of those institutions.” Without hiding his excitement at the prospect of his party continuing to win, the optimist López Obrador predicted the day before him: “We will continue to beat and win the game.”

A debate marked by corruption and violence

The issues that have marked the election debate in most states have been violence, corruption and poverty. Another issue that has come to the fore in the middle of the campaign is the war of leaks between the ruling party and the President of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) ‘Alito’ Moreno, whom he purports to have ordered. Distribution of commissions and money laundering actions. The opposition leader denied all the allegations and Condemns that the government has waged a dirty war against them To distract attention on the eve of the election.

Despite everything, Puentes believes that this confrontation will not have a real result this Sunday: “I think it does not have a direct effect, it has more to do with a Calculation, The public is not fully aware of the reality of the party leaders, so its effects will not be directly linked to the electoral outcome.” Despite the scandals, the unified opposition under the ‘Va por México’ formula continues to have good prospects. According to Puentes, “Aguascalientes and Durango thanks to voter profiles,” since they are large urban areas and areas with higher education and socioeconomic income, which generally leads to a more conservative vote, in contrast to Morena, which sweeps through communities. with low income and educational level.

In June of next year, Mexicans will return to the elections to renew the governorships of Coahuila and the State of Mexico, which will be the last electoral test before the election. President of 2024. AMLO is confident that his party will continue to achieve good results by paying for the best possible land so that the successor to the chief of Murray will have no problem with the renewal of the Presidency and, thus, his renovation project, known as the ‘Fourth Transformation’. as baptized. ‘, ends up consolidating in Mexico.

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