The record avoidance is over 52%. According to the first investigation, the Ensemble, Macron’s coalition, and Malenchon’s leftist coalition, would be nearly tied.
France this Sunday voted in a divided parliament in the first round of legislative elections. Just two months after centrist and Europeanist Emmanuel Macron was elected president, polls have given a presidential majority coalition with 25.2% support, a coalition led by anti-systems and Eurosceptics. Jean-Luc Mlenchon (Noops), who receives 25.2% of the support, according to Ipsos estimates for France Television, Ifop le da ligera ventaza a nupes.
The far-right Marine Le Pen’s party carries 18.9% of the support, according to first ballot After the closure of polling stations. In the first round of the 2017 legislative elections, Macron received 32.2% support, followed by The Republican (21.5%) and Le Pen’s National Front (now the National Rally) with 14%. These results therefore presage the reorganization of the French political board.
According to these first estimates, Macron’s coalition would receive between 275 and 310 delegates and Mlenchon between 180 and 210. Following Le Pen’s ranks, the Republican Party won 13.7% of the vote and the Reconquista, Zemour, with 3.9% of the vote. The Milanese would become the main force of the opposition, Which is already a major achievement for the left and has left places that find themselves fragmented for presidential elections, even ahead of Le Pen’s party.
Next Sunday’s second round will be decisive, he will decide room for maneuver that Macron will have to implement his programHowever, their absolute majority is in danger right now and everything indicates that it will not be easy for them.
This French election spring appears to have been designed to test Macron and pit him against the rising forces of A country that no longer deserves traditional plans and is increasingly polarizing, If the presidential elections in April showed the extent to which extremes carried weight, then these legislative elections show that these five years of a second term will not be easy.
French elect 577 deputy of the assembly today, Although in reality the quote is overblown because, again, it was about choosing between two different models of the country: the pro-European centristism represented by Macron and the opposite model represented by the Mélenchon coalition.
today was also A test to see the support of government ministers the districts in which they appeared. There were 15 and those who will not go to the second round will have to leave the government. Parties also fund their parties based on the support they receive.
Macron faced Le Pen in April; Today, the rivals were the leaders of the radical left. both of them Agree to criticize globalization and liberalism promoted by MacronThe formula proposes (each in its own way) a way to improve the life of the French and distance from Europe, noting that it takes away sovereignty from the French.
Today they were not voted for, but instead voted for representatives of their different alliances. Next Sunday closes this period of elections and strange campaigns, where there is no feedback on previous plans and stability depends on what has been decided, where governance is more or less difficult. Legislative elections in France usually do not generate enthusiasm, because they are preceded by two other votes and because it is assumed that voters will support the candidate chosen in the final round.
This indifference is shown by the historical abstinence rate of 53%. One in two French people has stayed at home. This is the highest abstinence rate since the establishment of the Fifth Republic in 1958. In the case of young people, it is more than 60%, compared to 30% for people over 65, which is already significant. Macron’s voter profile is precisely that of a retired voter, with studies, a good standing and financially well-off. Mlenchon is voted mostly by the younger and more emaciated population on the outskirts of Paris.
There was a great degree of uncertainty in these elections, with a mélancheon that has become an election phenomenon and has managed to unite the Left, lift it out of apathy and keep hope alive despite its defeat in April. Mlenchon’s party, France Reluctant, was already one point behind Le Pen in April and almost reached the second round.
He is the only one who has taken these elections a little more seriously. Macron has been very absent, as has Le Pen. He has encouraged the Left to mobilize for an absolute majority from the start, forcing Macron to nominate his prime minister. Indeed, removing the majority of the presidency is already a feat.
The most dangerous thing for Macron would be a cohabitation (if the Left wins a majority and is forced to choose a prime minister from the winning force), as it will create a lot of instability. Since 2002, to avoid this complication, legislative elections have been held immediately after the presidential election. A relative majority forces it to form an alliance with the rest of the forces.
The situation in France is now complicated. The country is deeply fragmented, traditional parties (Republicans and Socialists) were on the verge of disappearing in presidential elections, to the extent that they did not receive the minimum number of votes to receive funding, and extreme parties did not stop achieving cooperation.
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